Saturday, May 31, 2008

Stealing 3rd base with 1 out and 2 strikes on batter?

One of the primary objectives of offensive baseball is to get to 3B with 1 out. However, is stealing 3B a prudent decision if there are 2 strikes on the batter and 1 out in the inning?

In other words, is it worth an attempt of 3rd base if while he is running it becomes the 2nd out?

The answer isn't a cut and dry answer but it is noteworthy to understand some variables that go into the decision.

1) What kind of hitter is the batter? Does he strike out a lot? If the answer is yes then it might not be a prudent decision to attempt a steal.

2) What kind of hitter is the on deck batter? If the on deck batter is a good stick, then absolutely do not attempt a steal. You would hate to risk such a play when a base hit by a good hitter would drive the runner in during the next at bat.

3) What is the likelihood of the pitcher throwing a breaking ball? If a breaking ball can be anticipated or even recognized then even if the batter does strike out there is a good chance that third base would be reached anyway.

It's one of those "roll of the dice" decisions. It's not an easy one but it's certainly an easier one if you have some solid information to choose from.

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